Sport Picks

Stadium Background

R. Volgograd vs Neftekhimik

Russia Russia

FNL Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Mashukov I.
46'
Sub
Golubev A. In: Ismagilov A.
Out: Golubev A.
52' Event
Platonov P.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between R. Volgograd and Neftekhimik finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftekhimik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
R. Volgograd
15%
Draws
26%
Neftekhimik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: R. Volgograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and R. Volgograd come out ahead of Neftekhimik on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans R. Volgograd's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 68%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric R. Volgograd Neftekhimik
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Neftekhimik
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Neftekhimik
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 FNL
Neftekhimik vs R. Volgograd
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Neftekhimik
1:0
Aug 4, 2024 FNL
Neftekhimik vs R. Volgograd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

R. Volgograd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Neftekhimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Platonov P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 59 / 100
Neftekhimik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
R. Volgograd Neftekhimik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick R. Volgograd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

R. Volgograd scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Neftekhimik has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

R. Volgograd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Neftekhimik registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

R. Volgograd VS Neftekhimik
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

R. Volgograd

(Home)
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 6

Neftekhimik

(Away)
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ufa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
13 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
14 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
15 Ulyanovsk 12 3 2 7 14:18 11
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)