Sport Picks

Stadium Background

R. Volgograd vs Tomsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2021/2022 Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
R. Volgograd Logo

R. Volgograd

1 - 5
FT
Tomsk Logo

Tomsk

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Chukanov A.
28'
Gordyushenko A.
34'
Tashaev A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tomsk in this FNL 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
R. Volgograd
20%
Draws
40%
Tomsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to R. Volgograd lately — more wins on the board than Tomsk.
  • R. Volgograd are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular FNL 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 68%
Tomsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric R. Volgograd Tomsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2022 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Tomsk
1:5
Aug 29, 2021 FNL
Tomsk vs R. Volgograd
1:1
Nov 23, 2019 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Tomsk
2:0
Aug 10, 2019 FNL
Tomsk vs R. Volgograd
0:1
Nov 18, 2018 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Tomsk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

R. Volgograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Martynov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kudryashov P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gordyushenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 68 / 100
Tomsk 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
R. Volgograd Tomsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick R. Volgograd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

R. Volgograd's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tomsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: R. Volgograd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

R. Volgograd VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

R. Volgograd

(Home)
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
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Tomsk

(Away)
21 May
Tomsk
2 : 2
M. Lipetsk
15 May
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 3
Tomsk
07 May
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0
Tomsk
30 Apr
Olimp-Dolgoprudny
1 : 0
Tomsk
23 Apr
Tomsk
1 : 0
Tekstilshtik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torpedo Moscow 38 20 15 3 65:36 75
2 Fakel Voronezh 38 23 5 10 60:33 74
3 Orenburg 38 23 5 10 64:37 74
4 SKA Khabarovsk 38 19 8 11 48:38 65
5 Yenisey 38 19 6 13 58:55 63
6 Alania Vladikavkaz 38 17 9 12 75:53 60
7 Neftekhimik 38 17 7 14 60:43 58
8 Baltika 38 14 16 8 51:30 58
9 Spartak Moscow 2 38 18 4 16 48:55 58
10 Akron Togliatti 38 16 10 12 47:40 58
11 Krasnodar 2 38 15 8 15 45:45 53
12 Kuban 38 13 10 15 45:48 49
13 Veles Moscow 38 14 6 18 45:48 48
14 Tomsk 38 13 9 16 51:60 48
15 Olimp-Dolgoprudny 38 9 14 15 35:47 41
16 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 38 10 9 19 30:43 39
17 Kamaz 38 8 13 17 29:45 37
18 R. Volgograd 38 8 12 18 37:53 36
19 M. Lipetsk 38 9 6 23 31:70 33
20 Tekstilshtik 38 5 8 25 31:76 23
21 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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