Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Rabita Kosti and Umm Mughad finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umm Mughad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Mughad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Umm Mughad carry the better recent record into this one.
- Rabita Kosti are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Rabita Kosti Clean Sheet 11%
Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rabita Kosti | Umm Mughad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 23 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.67 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Umm Mughad vs Rabita Kosti
2:0
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Rabita Kosti vs Umm Mughad
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rabita Kosti 38 / 100
Umm Mughad 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rabita Kosti Umm Mughad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rabita Kosti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Umm Mughad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 23 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Umm Mughad lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Rabita Kosti scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Rabita Kosti VS Umm Mughad
0.71 Goals Scored 2
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rabita Kosti
(Home) 14 Feb
Madani
4 : 1 Rabita Kosti
08 Feb
Al Hilal Manaqil
1 : 1 Rabita Kosti
04 Feb
Umm Mughad
2 : 0 Rabita Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Rabita Kosti
29 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2 Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 6
22 Jan
Rabita Kosti
0 : 1 Madani
19 Jan
Rabita Kosti
1 : 2 Al Hilal Manaqil
15 Jan
Rabita Kosti
0 : 3 Umm Mughad
12 Jan
Rabita Kosti
1 : 0 Ahli Khartoum
08 Jan
Rabita Kosti
1 : 0 Merikh Kosti
Page 1 of 3
Umm Mughad
(Away) 09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0 Umm Mughad
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3 Al-Hilal Omdurman II
Page 1 of 5
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0 Umm Mughad
20 May
Al-Merreikh II
5 : 2 Umm Mughad
13 Feb
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Taqadom | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Al-Mergheni | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 6 | Kober | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 6 | Merikh Kosti | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Alfalah Atbra | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Saham Ad Damer | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Karima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 5 | Alamal SC Atbara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Hay Al Wadi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Al Fajr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 5 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | 10 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
