Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rabotnicki vs Besa 1976

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Selmani R.
54'
Gavric N.
55' Event
Rusevic A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2024/2025 game between Rabotnicki and Besa 1976 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rabotnicki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Rabotnicki
15%
Draws
36%
Besa 1976
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rabotnicki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rabotnicki come out ahead of Besa 1976 on wins alone.
  • Rabotnicki are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rabotnicki here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rabotnicki Clean Sheet 68%
Besa 1976 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rabotnicki Besa 1976
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2025 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Besa 1976
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Besa 1976
4:1
Aug 31, 2024 1. MFL
Besa 1976 vs Rabotnicki
0:0
Jul 29, 2022 Club Friendly
Rabotnicki vs Besa 1976
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rabotnicki 50 / 100
Besa 1976 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rabotnicki Besa 1976

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rabotnicki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa 1976's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Rabotnicki scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Rabotnicki went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rabotnicki VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rabotnicki

(Home)
24 Sept
Teteks
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
19 Sept
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
29 Aug
Rabotnicki
1 : 0
Gorno Lisice
15 Aug
Rabotnicki
3 : 0
Kozuf Gevgelija
Page 1 of 7

Besa 1976

(Away)
25 May
Besa 1976
0 : 2
Bashkimi
17 May
Pelister
1 : 4
Besa 1976
11 May
Besa 1976
3 : 0
Voska Sport
07 May
Tikves
1 : 0
Besa 1976
04 May
Besa 1976
2 : 1
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 33 20 10 3 59:30 70
2 Sileks 33 19 10 4 57:19 67
3 Rabotnicki 33 15 11 7 38:21 56
4 Struga 33 13 12 8 41:37 51
5 Vardar 33 12 9 12 39:37 45
6 Pelister 33 10 9 14 26:38 39
7 Shkupi 33 10 8 15 47:47 38
8 Tikves 33 7 13 13 25:33 34
9 Brera Strumica 33 9 7 17 41:56 34
10 Besa 1976 33 9 6 18 34:53 33
11 KF Gostivar 33 12 12 9 36:34 21
12 Voska Sport 33 5 7 21 25:63 -5
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Main)