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Stadium Background

Rabotnicki vs Renova Prediction & H2H Stats

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2022/2023 National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje
Sun, Sep 4, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rabotnicki host Renova in the 1. MFL 2022/2023. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rabotnicki have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Renova's 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Renova slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 4, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 1.25) point toward Rabotnicki. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rabotnicki
20%
Draws
40%
Renova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rabotnicki come out ahead of Renova on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rabotnicki a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Rabotnicki Clean Sheet 19%
Renova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rabotnicki Renova
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 16 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.72 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Rabotnicki
0:0
Sep 4, 2022 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Renova
0:0
Mar 19, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Rabotnicki
2:1
Feb 5, 2022 Club Friendly
Rabotnicki vs Renova
0:0
Dec 4, 2021 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Renova
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rabotnicki 42 / 100
Renova 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rabotnicki Renova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rabotnicki scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Renova has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Recent resilience: Rabotnicki stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rabotnicki VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rabotnicki

(Home)
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
24 Sept
Teteks
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
19 Sept
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
29 Aug
Rabotnicki
1 : 0
Gorno Lisice
Page 1 of 6

Renova

(Away)
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5
Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0
FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1
Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Struga 30 20 8 2 53:19 68
2 Shkupi 30 17 7 6 62:27 58
3 Shkendija Tetovo 30 16 9 5 43:23 57
4 Sileks 30 13 9 8 41:34 48
5 Bregalnica Stip 30 10 11 9 33:34 41
6 Tikves 30 11 7 12 40:37 40
7 Makedonija GP 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
8 Rabotnicki 30 11 4 15 37:48 37
9 Brera Strumica 30 6 10 14 34:38 28
10 FK Skopje 30 4 10 16 17:44 22
11 Pobeda 30 3 4 23 18:78 13
12 Renova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2023/2024 (Main)