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Race vs NK Krka

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mladenovic L.
43' Event
Kovacevic Z.
83' Event
Pipenbaher N.

AI Match Summary

Race in this Slovenian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Race
20%
Draws
44%
NK Krka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NK Krka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • NK Krka haven't matched Race's recent run of results.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Race have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Race, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Race Clean Sheet 19%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Race NK Krka
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Race vs NK Krka
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Race Compare

Top Goalscorer Mladenovic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pipenbaher N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

NK Krka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacevic Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Race 31 / 100
NK Krka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Race NK Krka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Race Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Race found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: NK Krka conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Race has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Race VS NK Krka
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Race

(Home)
26 Sept
Podvinci
0 : 1
Race
19 Sept
Race
2 : 2
NK Carda Martjanci
11 Sept
Race
1 : 2
SD Videm
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
26 Aug
Race
0 : 0
Korotan Prevalje
Page 1 of 6

NK Krka

(Away)
27 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 0
NK Krka
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
28 Aug
Primorje
3 : 2
NK Krka
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1