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Racing Bejrut vs Al Ahed

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup 2018/2019
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Racing Bejrut host Al Ahed in the Lebanese Cup 2018/2019. Al Ahed are expected to control this from the start. Al Ahed have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Racing Bejrut have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Racing Bejrut have won 0 to Al Ahed's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 19, 2019, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.36) point toward Al Ahed. Al Ahed in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Racing Bejrut
6%
Draws
90%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ahed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahed has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Racing Bejrut.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Al Ahed.
  • Cup tournament structure in Lebanese Cup 2018/2019 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Racing Bejrut Clean Sheet 18%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Bejrut Al Ahed
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 1 17
Draws 0 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2019 Lebanese Cup
Racing Bejrut vs Al Ahed
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Bejrut 10 / 100
Al Ahed 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Bejrut Al Ahed

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Bejrut scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Al Ahed let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Racing Bejrut went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahed lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Ahed
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Al Ansar2
Nejmeh SC1
Safa0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1
Racing Bejrut1
Salam Zgharta0
Tripoli SC0
Al Ahed1
Semi-finals
Al Ansar2
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1
Racing Bejrut1
Al Ahed4
Final
Al Ansar0
Al Ahed1