Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Aviles

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Esquerdo V.
41' Event
Santamaria A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Racing Club Ferrol and Real Aviles finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Racing Club Ferrol
30%
Draws
29%
Real Aviles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Racing Club Ferrol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Real Aviles's 1.47 goals per match outpaces what Racing Club Ferrol have produced (0.93).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Racing Club Ferrol taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Ferrol Real Aviles
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 10 14
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Aviles
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Aviles
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Racing Club Ferrol
2:1
Mar 15, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Racing Club Ferrol
1:3
Oct 26, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Aviles
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Club Ferrol Compare

Top Goalscorer Esquerdo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Real Aviles Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Ferrol 42 / 100
Real Aviles 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Ferrol Real Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aviles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Racing Club Ferrol scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Racing Club Ferrol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Ferrol VS Real Aviles
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Club Ferrol

(Home)
26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2
Real Union
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
29 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 6

Real Aviles

(Away)
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 6