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Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Madrid B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal da Malata
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ciria A.
26' Event
Ortega J.
29'
Sub
Zalaya A. In: Rodriguez C.
Out: Zalaya A.

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid B in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Racing Club Ferrol
28%
Draws
22%
Real Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Racing Club Ferrol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Real Madrid B have won more games recently than Racing Club Ferrol.
  • Racing Club Ferrol are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 68%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Ferrol Real Madrid B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Madrid B
0:5
Sep 17, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid B vs Racing Club Ferrol
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Madrid B vs Racing Club Ferrol
2:1
Aug 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Real Madrid B vs Racing Club Ferrol
0:3
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Madrid B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Club Ferrol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Real Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortuny P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ciria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Ferrol 59 / 100
Real Madrid B 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Ferrol Real Madrid B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Club Ferrol scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Real Madrid B has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Racing Club Ferrol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Ferrol VS Real Madrid B
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328