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Racing Club Villalbes vs CD Castro

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Racing Club Villalbes and CD Castro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Club Villalbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Racing Club Villalbes
20%
Draws
38%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Club Villalbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Club Villalbes come out ahead of CD Castro on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Racing Club Villalbes taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Racing Club Villalbes Clean Sheet 20%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Villalbes CD Castro
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 16 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Racing Club Villalbes
3:3
Aug 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs CD Castro
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Villalbes 42 / 100
CD Castro 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Villalbes CD Castro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Castro has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Racing Club Villalbes found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (41 games).

CD Castro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Villalbes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%