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Racing Club Villalbes vs Lugo B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Blas F.
83' Event
Trigo P.
90' Event
Gardette A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Racing Club Villalbes and Lugo B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Club Villalbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Racing Club Villalbes
6%
Draws
90%
Lugo B
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Club Villalbes come out ahead of Lugo B on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lugo B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Racing Club Villalbes Clean Sheet 22%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Villalbes Lugo B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Lugo B
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Racing Club Villalbes
1:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Racing Club Villalbes
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Lugo B
1:0
Apr 14, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Racing Club Villalbes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Club Villalbes Compare

Top Goalscorer Trigo P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gardette A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Blas F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Villalbes 10 / 100
Lugo B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Villalbes Lugo B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Club Villalbes found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Lugo B let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Racing Club Villalbes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Villalbes VS Lugo B
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919