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Racing des Gonaives vs Real Hope - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2024 game between Racing des Gonaives and Real Hope finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Hope.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Racing des Gonaives
30%
Draws
33%
Real Hope
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Racing des Gonaives

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Real Hope carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Racing des Gonaives taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 18%
Real Hope Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing des Gonaives Real Hope
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.73 1.15
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Racing des Gonaives
3:1
Mar 17, 2024 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Real Hope
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing des Gonaives 41 / 100
Real Hope 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing des Gonaives Real Hope

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Racing des Gonaives has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Racing des Gonaives found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Real Hope let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing des Gonaives VS Real Hope
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing des Gonaives

(Home)
28 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
1 : 0
Fica
21 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
3 : 2
Ouanaminthe
14 Apr
Real Hope
3 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
10 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
30 Mar
Fica
0 : 0
Racing des Gonaives
Page 1 of 6

Real Hope

(Away)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Real Hope
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Fica
1 : 0
Real Hope
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Hope 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
2 Ouanaminthe 8 4 1 3 6:6 13
3 Racing des Gonaives 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 AS Capoise 8 3 2 3 6:6 11
5 Fica 8 1 2 5 2:8 5
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cosmopolites 8 3 3 2 5:4 12
2 Baltimore 8 3 3 2 4:3 12
3 Tempete 8 2 5 1 4:3 11
4 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 3 3 3:5 9
5 Rivartibonitienne 8 2 2 4 3:4 8
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America des Cayes 6 4 2 0 15:3 14
2 Cavaly 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Racing Haitien 6 1 3 2 3:9 6
4 Juventus 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
5 Violette 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)