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Racing Lermeno vs Almazan

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 game between Racing Lermeno and Almazan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Lermeno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Racing Lermeno
35%
Draws
45%
Almazan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Almazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Almazan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Almazan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Racing Lermeno Clean Sheet 16%
Almazan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Lermeno Almazan
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 3 11
Draws 8 14
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Racing Lermeno
0:0
Sep 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Almazan
0:1
Mar 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Almazan
1:0
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Racing Lermeno
4:1
Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Almazan
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Lermeno 10 / 100
Almazan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Lermeno Almazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almazan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Almazan conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Racing Lermeno scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Racing Lermeno has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Almazan
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Lermeno

(Home)
11 May
Racing Lermeno
3 : 2
CD Cebrerena
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0
Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1
Racing Lermeno
27 Apr
Racing Lermeno
0 : 2
Becerril
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1
Racing Lermeno
Page 1 of 7

Almazan

(Away)
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca B
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)