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Racing Lermeno vs Leonesa

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leonesa in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leonesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Racing Lermeno
20%
Draws
58%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leonesa lately — more wins on the board than Racing Lermeno.
  • Model gives Leonesa a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Leonesa have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Racing Lermeno Clean Sheet 20%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Lermeno Leonesa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.73 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Leonesa
0:1
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa vs Racing Lermeno
2:1
Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa vs Racing Lermeno
6:0
Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Leonesa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Lermeno 10 / 100
Leonesa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Lermeno Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Leonesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Racing Lermeno found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Racing Lermeno remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leonesa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Lermeno

(Home)
11 May
Racing Lermeno
3 : 2
CD Cebrerena
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0
Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1
Racing Lermeno
27 Apr
Racing Lermeno
0 : 2
Becerril
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1
Racing Lermeno
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa

(Away)
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)