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Racing Montevideo vs Albion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Oyarzo Y.
36'
Toledo H.
42'
Gutierrez R.

AI Match Summary

Racing Montevideo in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Montevideo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Racing Montevideo
15%
Draws
59%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Racing Montevideo lately — more wins on the board than Albion.
  • Model gives Racing Montevideo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 16%
Albion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Montevideo Albion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Albion
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Racing Montevideo
1:3
Nov 9, 2021 Segunda Division
Racing Montevideo vs Albion
1:1
Jul 28, 2021 Segunda Division
Albion vs Racing Montevideo
0:0
Nov 10, 2020 Segunda Division
Albion vs Racing Montevideo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Montevideo Compare

Top Goalscorer De la Cuesta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Albion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Montevideo 41 / 100
Albion 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Montevideo Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Racing Montevideo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Albion conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Racing Montevideo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing Montevideo VS Albion
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Montevideo

(Home)
17 Oct
Racing Montevideo
3 : 0
Wanderers
11 Oct
Juventud
2 : 0
Racing Montevideo
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1
Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
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Albion

(Away)
18 Oct
Albion
2 : 1
Montevideo City
15 Oct
Maldonado
4 : 1
Albion
11 Oct
Cerro Largo
0 : 1
Albion
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 11 7 3 1 19:8 24
2 Club Nacional 11 7 2 2 17:11 23
3 Montevideo City 11 7 1 3 21:12 22
4 Penarol 11 6 3 2 16:8 20
5 Maldonado 11 5 3 3 16:9 18
6 CA Cerro 11 5 3 3 13:14 18
7 Juventud 11 4 5 2 12:8 17
8 Progreso 11 5 1 5 12:13 16
9 Racing Montevideo 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
10 Boston River 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
11 Wanderers 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
12 Danubio 11 2 4 5 5:11 10
13 Albion 11 3 0 8 12:19 9
14 Defensor Sp. 11 2 2 7 11:20 8
15 Cerro Largo 11 0 6 5 7:14 6
16 Central Esp. 11 1 2 8 5:18 5
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)