Sport Picks
Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
Racing Montevideo host Cerro Largo in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Racing Montevideo have averaged 1.03 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Cerro Largo's 0.86 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Racing Montevideo slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.19) back Racing Montevideo to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Racing Montevideo come out ahead of Cerro Largo on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Montevideo | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Racing Montevideo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Cerro Largo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Cerro Largo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Montevideo
(Home)Cerro Largo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Penarol | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Maldonado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Juventud | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:8 | 17 |
| 8 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Boston River | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Danubio | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Albion | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 14 | Defensor Sp. | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:18 | 5 |
