Sport Picks
Racing Montevideo vs Penarol
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Osvaldo Roberto 
AI Match Summary
Racing Montevideo play Penarol in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. It looks like a close match. Recently, Racing Montevideo averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Penarol averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Racing Montevideo won 2, Penarol won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Racing Montevideo and 0.88 for Penarol. This points to a Racing Montevideo double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Racing Montevideo picked up more points recently compared to Penarol.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.88 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Montevideo | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Racing Montevideo scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Penarol let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Racing Montevideo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Penarol lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Central Esp. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Liverpool M. | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 6 | Boston River | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 7 | Progreso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |