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Racing Montevideo vs Villa Teresa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
De Los Santos E.
59' Event
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2021 game between Racing Montevideo and Villa Teresa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Montevideo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Racing Montevideo
30%
Draws
47%
Villa Teresa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Teresa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Montevideo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 26%
Villa Teresa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Montevideo Villa Teresa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2021 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Racing Montevideo
0:0
Aug 7, 2021 Segunda Division
Racing Montevideo vs Villa Teresa
2:0
Oct 13, 2020 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Racing Montevideo
0:2
Aug 17, 2020 Segunda Division
Racing Montevideo vs Villa Teresa
2:2
Apr 28, 2016 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Villa Teresa
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Montevideo Compare

Top Goalscorer De Los Santos E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Villa Teresa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Montevideo 38 / 100
Villa Teresa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Montevideo Villa Teresa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Teresa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Teresa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Racing Montevideo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Racing Montevideo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing Montevideo VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Montevideo

(Home)
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1
Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

Villa Teresa

(Away)
11 Dec
La Luz
4 : 1
Villa Teresa
06 Dec
Villa Teresa
2 : 0
La Luz
24 Nov
Villa Teresa
1 : 1
Albion
17 Nov
Villa Teresa
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
09 Nov
Atenas
0 : 1
Villa Teresa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)