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Racing Murcia vs Archena Sport

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing Murcia play Archena Sport in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Racing Murcia averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Archena Sport averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Racing Murcia won 2, Archena Sport won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 13, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Racing Murcia and 1.06 for Archena Sport. This points to a Racing Murcia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Racing Murcia
20%
Draws
35%
Archena Sport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Murcia picked up more points recently compared to Archena Sport.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 22%
Archena Sport Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Murcia Archena Sport
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Archena Sport
3:0
Oct 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Archena Sport vs Racing Murcia
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Murcia 45 / 100
Archena Sport 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Murcia Archena Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Racing Murcia or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Racing Murcia attacking → ← attacking Archena Sport

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Murcia scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Archena Sport let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Racing Murcia went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Archena Sport lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 36
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Yeclano34248271:2180
2FC Cartagena SAD B34179861:3260
3Racing Murcia341512748:2757
4UCAM Murcia B341591049:3454
5La Union (Malacitano)341591044:3154
6Lorca Deportiva341510952:4253
7Real Murcia B341491149:4651
8Caravaca3413111044:4050
9Ciudad de Murcia341381347:4547
10Bullense341271534:5043
11E.G. El Palmar3411101341:4443
12Archena Sport341271548:4943
13Deportiva Minera341261639:5142
14Bala Azul3410101430:4540
15Cartagena FC UCAM341081635:4938
16Mazarron CF341071733:4837
17Huercal-Overa CF345101926:5425
18UD Los Garres34482223:6620