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Racing Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Morete
36' Event
Solsona J.
53' Event
Bianco L.

AI Match Summary

Lorca Deportiva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Racing Murcia
6%
Draws
90%
Lorca Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lorca Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lorca Deportiva have won more games recently than Racing Murcia.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lorca Deportiva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 20%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Murcia Lorca Deportiva
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva
1:4
Nov 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Racing Murcia
0:0
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Racing Murcia
1:0
Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva
0:1
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Racing Murcia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianco L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Lorca Deportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Morete
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solsona J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Murcia 10 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Murcia Lorca Deportiva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Murcia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lorca Deportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Lorca Deportiva lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lorca Deportiva
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera34246453:1978
2Real Murcia B34208667:3368
3Ciudad Cieza341911444:2468
4UCAM Murcia B341951042:2462
5Caravaca34187960:3261
6Lorca Deportiva34178964:3059
7Molinense341851160:3459
8CA Pulpileno341313839:2352
9Muleno CF341271537:4243
10Racing Murcia341171636:5140
11Plus Ultra341222043:5638
12E.G. El Palmar34991633:5236
13Bullense341061840:6536
14Balsicas Atletico34991635:5336
15Alcantarilla341061834:4136
16Ciudad de Murcia34791828:4330
17CD Algar34781931:6529
18Montecasillas34722531:9023