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Racing Murcia vs UD Los Garres

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 game between Racing Murcia and UD Los Garres finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Racing Murcia
11%
Draws
80%
UD Los Garres
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: UD Los Garres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Murcia come out ahead of UD Los Garres on wins alone.
  • UD Los Garres are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Racing Murcia have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 20%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Murcia UD Los Garres
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs UD Los Garres
3:0
Dec 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Racing Murcia
1:2
May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Murcia vs UD Los Garres
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Murcia 12 / 100
UD Los Garres 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Murcia UD Los Garres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Los Garres has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Racing Murcia found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

UD Los Garres's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Murcia VS UD Los Garres
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Murcia

(Home)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3
Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4
Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1
Racing Murcia
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UD Los Garres

(Away)
29 Oct
UD Los Garres
0 : 4
Elche
04 Oct
UD Los Garres
4 : 0
Manises
27 Sept
Manises
2 : 0
UD Los Garres
30 Aug
UD Los Garres
1 : 2
Santomera
27 Aug
Minerva
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yeclano34248271:2180
2FC Cartagena SAD B34179861:3260
3Racing Murcia341512748:2757
4UCAM Murcia B341591049:3454
5La Union (Malacitano)341591044:3154
6Lorca Deportiva341510952:4253
7Real Murcia B341491149:4651
8Caravaca3413111044:4050
9Ciudad de Murcia341381347:4547
10Bullense341271534:5043
11E.G. El Palmar3411101341:4443
12Archena Sport341271548:4943
13Deportiva Minera341261639:5142
14Bala Azul3410101430:4540
15Cartagena FC UCAM341081635:4938
16Mazarron CF341071733:4837
17Huercal-Overa CF345101926:5425
18UD Los Garres34482223:6620
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 (Play Offs)