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Racing Rioja vs Anguiano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ranera A.
44' Event
Guillen D.
66' Event
Ubis E.

AI Match Summary

Racing Rioja in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Rioja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing Rioja
20%
Draws
80%
Anguiano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Anguiano lately — more wins on the board than Racing Rioja.
  • Win probability leans Anguiano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 18%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Rioja Anguiano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Racing Rioja
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs Anguiano
2:1
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Racing Rioja
4:4
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs Anguiano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Rioja Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ubis E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ranera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Rioja 10 / 100
Anguiano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Rioja Anguiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anguiano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Anguiano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Racing Rioja scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Anguiano lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Anguiano
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Rioja

(Home)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

Anguiano

(Away)
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)