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Racing Rioja vs CD Calahorra B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bonilla P.
39' Event
Jin Yonghao
55' Event
Guillen D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 game between Racing Rioja and CD Calahorra B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Rioja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing Rioja
20%
Draws
80%
CD Calahorra B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Calahorra B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Calahorra B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Calahorra B a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Racing Rioja have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 21%
CD Calahorra B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Rioja CD Calahorra B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 13
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs CD Calahorra B
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra B vs Racing Rioja
0:1
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs CD Calahorra B
2:0
Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra B vs Racing Rioja
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Rioja Compare

Top Goalscorer Jin Yonghao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guillen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

CD Calahorra B Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Rioja 10 / 100
CD Calahorra B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Rioja CD Calahorra B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Calahorra B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Racing Rioja's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Calahorra B's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Calahorra B
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Rioja

(Home)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

CD Calahorra B

(Away)
11 May
Oyonesa
3 : 3
CD Calahorra B
01 May
CD Calahorra B
1 : 1
Comillas CF
26 Apr
Yague
0 : 3
CD Calahorra B
17 Apr
CD Calahorra B
2 : 0
Haro Deportivo
12 Apr
Agoncillo
2 : 0
CD Calahorra B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)