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Racing Santander vs Alaves

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
1 - 2
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
45' Event
Mantilla A.
Own Goal
'

AI Match Summary

Alaves in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Racing Santander
15%
Draws
46%
Alaves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves haven't matched Racing Santander's recent run of results.
  • Alaves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%
Alaves Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Santander Alaves
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.87 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 LaLiga
Racing Santander vs Alaves
2:1
Aug 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Alaves
1:2
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Alaves
0:0
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Alaves
1:2
Jan 21, 2023 LaLiga2
Alaves vs Racing Santander
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalibre A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alaves Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Santander 10 / 100
Alaves 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Santander Alaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Santander found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Alaves let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Racing Santander went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Santander VS Alaves
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Santander

(Home)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
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Alaves

(Away)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
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