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Racing Santander vs Alaves

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio El Sardinero, Santander
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Tenaglia N.
8'
Ibanez P.
18' Event
Koski V.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Racing Santander and Alaves finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Santander.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Racing Santander
15%
Draws
46%
Alaves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Santander come out ahead of Alaves on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%
Alaves Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Santander Alaves
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.87 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 LaLiga
Racing Santander vs Alaves
2:1
Aug 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Alaves
1:2
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Alaves
0:0
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Alaves
1:2
Jan 21, 2023 LaLiga2
Alaves vs Racing Santander
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabiri Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Koski V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Santander 30 / 100
Alaves 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Santander Alaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Racing Santander scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Alaves let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Racing Santander has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing Santander VS Alaves
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Santander

(Home)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
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Alaves

(Away)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)