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Racing Santander vs Valencia

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio El Sardinero, Santander
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing Santander host Valencia in the LaLiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Valencia have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Racing Santander have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Valencia slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2012, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.50) back Racing Santander to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Racing Santander
15%
Draws
28%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Racing Santander

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Santander come out ahead of Valencia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Racing Santander's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 16%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Santander Valencia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 LaLiga
Racing Santander vs Valencia
2:2
Aug 27, 2011 LaLiga
Valencia vs Racing Santander
4:3
Jan 31, 2011 LaLiga
Racing Santander vs Valencia
1:1
Sep 11, 2010 LaLiga
Valencia vs Racing Santander
1:0
Mar 8, 2010 LaLiga
Valencia vs Racing Santander
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Santander 48 / 100
Valencia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Santander Valencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Santander Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Santander found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Valencia let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Valencia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Santander VS Valencia
2 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Santander

(Home)
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
23 Aug
Getafe
1 : 0
Racing Santander
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Valencia

(Away)
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
25 Aug
Valencia
0 : 1
Betis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 6 6 0 0 28:6 18
2 Real Madrid 6 5 0 1 17:6 15
3 Betis 6 5 0 1 8:6 15
4 Atl. Madrid 6 4 1 1 14:6 13
5 Sevilla 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
6 Alaves 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
7 Dep. A Coruna 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
8 Espanyol 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Racing Santander 6 2 1 3 11:16 7
11 Rayo Vallecano 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
12 Real Sociedad 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
13 Osasuna 6 2 1 3 5:12 7
14 Villarreal 6 1 2 3 10:11 5
15 Levante 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
16 Getafe 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
17 Celta Vigo 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Valencia 6 1 1 4 2:10 4
19 Malaga 6 0 3 3 3:11 3
20 Elche 6 0 2 4 8:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)