Sport Picks
Racing Santander vs Villarreal
Spain
LaLiga Estadio El Sardinero, Santander 
Match Events
16'
16'
Sub
Pedro Felipe In: Hernando J.
Out: Pedro Felipe
21'
21'
Martin A.
(Penalty)
34'
34'
Martinez S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Racing Santander
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Racing Santander lately — more wins on the board than Villarreal.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Villarreal taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Santander | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 LaLiga
Racing Santander vs Villarreal
2:2
Dec 17, 2025 Copa del Rey
Racing Santander vs Villarreal
2:1
Apr 21, 2013 LaLiga2
Villarreal vs Racing Santander
1:0
Nov 17, 2012 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Villarreal
0:3
Apr 15, 2012 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Racing Santander
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Racing Santander Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Villarreal Compare
Top Goalscorer Gueye P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pepe N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Racing Santander 10 / 100
Villarreal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Racing Santander Villarreal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villarreal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villarreal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.
Racing Santander found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Villarreal lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Racing Santander VS Villarreal
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Santander
(Home) 19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0 Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2 Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1 Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2 Elche
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1 Alaves
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2 Elche
16 Aug
Racing Santander
2 : 2 Villarreal
07 Aug
Racing Santander
1 : 2 Alaves
07 Aug
Racing Santander
4 : 1 Gijon
Page 1 of 3
Villarreal
(Away) 20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1 Levante
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3 Villarreal
14 Sept
Villarreal
1 : 2 Betis
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3 Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3 Villarreal
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0 Villarreal
23 Aug
Atl. Madrid
2 : 2 Villarreal
16 Aug
Racing Santander
2 : 2 Villarreal
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
