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Racing United vs Arnett Gardens

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Grant T.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Shepherd J.
30' Event
Ellis N.

AI Match Summary

Racing United in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Racing United
15%
Draws
48%
Arnett Gardens
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnett Gardens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arnett Gardens lately — more wins on the board than Racing United.
  • Win probability leans Arnett Gardens's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Racing United Clean Sheet 10%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing United Arnett Gardens
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Premier League
Racing United vs Arnett Gardens
3:2
Mar 17, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Racing United
4:0
Dec 30, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Racing United
1:1
Aug 26, 2025 Premier League
Racing United vs Arnett Gardens
5:1
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Racing United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grant T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arnett Gardens Compare

Top Goalscorer Shepherd J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing United 10 / 100
Arnett Gardens 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing United Arnett Gardens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Racing United scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Arnett Gardens has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Racing United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing United VS Arnett Gardens
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing United

(Home)
27 Sept
Racing United
0 : 1
Montego Bay
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
14 May
Portmore
2 : 0
Racing United
10 May
Racing United
3 : 3
Portmore
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Arnett Gardens

(Away)
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tru-Juice FC 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Montego Bay 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Waterhouse 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
4 Cavalier 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
5 Racing United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Tivoli 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
7 Chapelton 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
8 Portmore 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
9 Arnett Gardens 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
10 Molynes United 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
11 Mount Pleasant 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
12 Treasure Beach 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
13 FC Dunbeholden 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
14 Humble Lions 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)