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Racing vs Al Ghazieh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Diaw A.
46' Event
Biodom Y.
58' Event
Sangare A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ghazieh in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ghazieh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing
15%
Draws
85%
Al Ghazieh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ghazieh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing haven't matched Al Ghazieh's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Ghazieh a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Racing Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Al Ghazieh
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 2 8
Losses 29 18
Goals Scored 0.39 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.64 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ghazieh
0:4
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ghazieh
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Racing
1:2
Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ghazieh
1:1
Aug 27, 2023 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Racing
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Al Ghazieh Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaw A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biodom Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing 10 / 100
Al Ghazieh 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Al Ghazieh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ghazieh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Ghazieh conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Al Ghazieh's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Racing found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Racing VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing

(Home)
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
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Al Ghazieh

(Away)
05 Jul
Al Ghazieh
1 : 4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
30 Jun
Al Ghazieh
0 : 3
Al Sahel
26 Jun
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Ghazieh
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Racing
0 : 4
Al Ghazieh
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