Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Mayonga M.
AI Match Summary
Moss in this NM Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rade
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rade lately — more wins on the board than Moss.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Rade taking it.
- Rade have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Moss, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Rade Clean Sheet 10%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rade | Moss |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.79 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.19 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2025 NM Cup
Rade vs Moss
0:1
Apr 24, 2024 NM Cup
Rade vs Moss
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rade Compare
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59
Moss Compare
Top Goalscorer Mayonga M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rade 83 / 100
Moss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rade Moss
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Moss conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Rade scored in 79% of their last 24 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Rade remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rade VS Moss
3.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Rade
(Home) 15 Aug
Rade
3 : 2 Drobak-Frogn
09 Aug
Raelingen
1 : 1 Rade
01 Aug
Rade
8 : 1 Bjorkelangen
25 Jul
Gjovik-Lyn
0 : 3 Rade
28 Jun
Rade
3 : 5 Lyn 2
Page 1 of 5
15 Aug
Rade
3 : 2 Drobak-Frogn
01 Aug
Rade
8 : 1 Bjorkelangen
28 Jun
Rade
3 : 5 Lyn 2
13 Jun
Rade
7 : 2 Raelingen
26 May
Rade
5 : 1 Sarpsborg 08 2
Page 1 of 3
Moss
(Away) 15 Aug
Bryne
2 : 1 Moss
10 Aug
Moss
3 : 3 Odds BK
02 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1 Moss
26 Jul
Moss
1 : 2 Raufoss
04 Jul
Egersund
3 : 0 Moss
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Bryne
2 : 1 Moss
02 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1 Moss
04 Jul
Egersund
3 : 0 Moss
27 Jun
Strommen
3 : 2 Moss
14 Jun
Sogndal
2 : 4 Moss
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Spjelkavik 2
Brattvag 4
Forde 0
Hodd 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 4
Alta 3
Finnsnes 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asker 3
Skeid 0
Vestfossen 1
Mjondalen 5
Bjarg 2
Sogndal 0
Vidar 1
V. Haugesund 4
Gamle Oslo 2
Eidsvold TF 1
Baerum 0
Stabaek 5
Flint 0
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Vigor 0
Start 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Sandviken 0
Gneist IL 2
Asane 3
Strindheim 2
Stjordals Blink 3
Traeff 1
Aalesund 4
Arendal 3
Jerv 2
Flekkeroy 1
Egersund 2
Follo 6
Notodden 2
Nordstrand 1
Lyn 3
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Ull/Kisa 0
Strommen 2
Pors 1
Odds BK 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 2
Ranheim 1
Nardo 0
Levanger 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 3
Sotra 2
Madla IL 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Honefoss 3
Raufoss 0
Lorenskog 1
Lillestrom 4
Junkeren 3
Rana FK 1
Brumunddal 1
Kongsvinger 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 1
Grorud 0
Rade 0
Moss 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/32-finals
Brattvag 5
Hodd 4
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
Asker 1
Mjondalen 4
Bjarg 2
V. Haugesund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Stabaek 4
Eik-Tonsberg 3
Start 0
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Asane 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Aalesund 2
Arendal 2
Egersund 3
Follo 0
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Strommen 2
Odds BK 3
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 1
Levanger 3
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 2
Sandnes Ulf 6
Honefoss 2
Lillestrom 3
Junkeren 0
Kongsvinger 4
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 2
Moss 1
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/16-finals
Brattvag 1
Bryne 2
Haugesund 1
Rosenborg 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 6
Sandefjord 1
Brann 5
Mjondalen 1
Bjarg 6
Stabaek 1
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Viking 2
Lysekloster 1
Aalesund 3
Egersund 3
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset 1
Molde 2
Odds BK 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Levanger 1
Ham-Kam 5
Sandnes Ulf 1
Lillestrom 2
Kongsvinger 1
KFUM Oslo 3
Tromso 2
Kristiansund 1
Valerenga 1
Fredrikstad 2
Kjelsas 5
Sarpsborg 08 6
1/8-finals
Bryne 4
Rosenborg 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 2
Brann 3
Bjarg 0
Viking 3
Aalesund 3
Egersund 2
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Ham-Kam 0
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 2
Tromso 1
Fredrikstad 2
Sarpsborg 08 1
Quarter-finals
Bryne 1
Brann 2
Viking 1
Aalesund 2
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 0
KFUM Oslo 3
Fredrikstad 2
Semi-finals
Brann 2
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
KFUM Oslo 1
Final
Brann 3
Bodo/Glimt 4
