Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Hamouda T.
25'
25'
Hamouda T.
52'
52'
Boubakri J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Hamam-Sousse in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamam-Sousse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rades
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hamam-Sousse lately — more wins on the board than Rades.
- Model gives Rades a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Rades Clean Sheet 68%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rades | Hamam-Sousse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 2 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Rades
0:1
Dec 29, 2024 Ligue 2
Rades vs Hamam-Sousse
2:6
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Rades
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Ligue 2
Rades vs Hamam-Sousse
4:3
Apr 3, 2021 Ligue 2
Rades vs Hamam-Sousse
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rades Compare
Top Goalscorer Taboubi I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Hamam-Sousse Compare
Top Goalscorer Hamouda T.
3 Goals Assists Leader Sassi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rades 51 / 100
Hamam-Sousse 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rades Hamam-Sousse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Hamam-Sousse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Rades has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Hamam-Sousse's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rades VS Hamam-Sousse
0 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rades
(Home) 08 Feb
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Rades
24 May
Rades
1 : 1 Moknine
17 May
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 1 Rades
10 May
Rades
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
04 May
AS Marsa
3 : 0 Rades
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Rades
1 : 1 Moknine
10 May
Rades
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
26 Apr
Rades
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
19 Apr
Rades
1 : 8 Megrine
05 Apr
Rades
0 : 2 Kerkennah
Page 1 of 3
Hamam-Sousse
(Away) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
11 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
27 Apr
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
