Sport Picks
Match Events
71'
71'
Khemiri K.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Rades and Menzel Bourguiba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rades.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rades
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Menzel Bourguiba carry the better recent record into this one.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Rades taking it.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Rades Clean Sheet 68%
Menzel Bourguiba Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rades | Menzel Bourguiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Rades vs Menzel Bourguiba
1:0
Dec 24, 2024 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Rades
0:0
Sep 1, 2020 Ligue 2
Rades vs Menzel Bourguiba
2:1
Feb 22, 2020 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Rades
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 Ligue 2
Rades vs Menzel Bourguiba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rades Compare
Top Goalscorer Khemiri K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Menzel Bourguiba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rades 95 / 100
Menzel Bourguiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rades Menzel Bourguiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rades Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Menzel Bourguiba has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.
Solid form: Rades remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Menzel Bourguiba has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Rades scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Rades VS Menzel Bourguiba
0 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rades
(Home) 08 Feb
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Rades
24 May
Rades
1 : 1 Moknine
17 May
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 1 Rades
10 May
Rades
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
04 May
AS Marsa
3 : 0 Rades
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Rades
1 : 1 Moknine
10 May
Rades
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
26 Apr
Rades
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
19 Apr
Rades
1 : 8 Megrine
05 Apr
Rades
0 : 2 Kerkennah
Page 1 of 3
Menzel Bourguiba
(Away) 11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4 Kerkennah
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
05 Apr
US Tataouine
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
28 Feb
Chebba
4 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
