Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Radnicki Obrenovac vs Bacevac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Radnicki Obrenovac host Bacevac in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. This has Radnicki Obrenovac written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Radnicki Obrenovac at 2.38 goals for, 1.41 against; Bacevac at 1.5 for, 3 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Radnicki Obrenovac. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Radnicki Obrenovac
20%
Draws
19%
Bacevac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Radnicki Obrenovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Radnicki Obrenovac lately — more wins on the board than Bacevac.
  • Radnicki Obrenovac are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Radnicki Obrenovac Clean Sheet 12%
Bacevac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radnicki Obrenovac Bacevac
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 18 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.41 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radnicki Obrenovac 83 / 100
Bacevac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radnicki Obrenovac Bacevac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radnicki Obrenovac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Radnicki Obrenovac scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Bacevac let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

Radnicki Obrenovac went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Bacevac registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Radnicki Obrenovac VS Bacevac
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Radnicki Obrenovac

(Home)
03 Oct
Zvezdara
0 : 2
Radnicki Obrenovac
27 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
0 : 0
Buducnost Dobanovci
18 Sept
Usce
1 : 3
Radnicki Obrenovac
13 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
3 : 0
Padinska Skela
06 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
2 : 1
BASK
Page 1 of 6

Bacevac

(Away)
03 Oct
Bacevac
3 : 3
Nika Lepusnica
26 Sept
Polet Dorcol
1 : 0
Bacevac
19 Sept
Bacevac
1 : 3
Torlak
12 Sept
Bezanija
2 : 0
Bacevac
05 Sept
Bacevac
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buducnost Dobanovci 7 4 3 0 12:1 15
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 7 4 2 1 12:5 14
3 Nika Lepusnica 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Usce 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
5 Bezanija 7 4 0 3 10:7 12
6 Torlak 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
7 BASK 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
8 Brodarac 7 3 0 4 9:11 9
9 Zvezdara 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
10 Polet Dorcol 7 1 4 2 7:8 7
11 Bacevac 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
12 Padinska Skela 7 1 3 3 3:7 6
13 Prva Iskra 7 2 0 5 4:12 6
14 Jedinstvo Surcin 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)