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Radnicki S. Mitrovica vs Graficar Beograd

Serbia Serbia

Prva Liga 2024/2025 Gradski stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Radnicki S. Mitrovica play Graficar Beograd in the Prva Liga 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Radnicki S. Mitrovica averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Graficar Beograd averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Radnicki S. Mitrovica won 3, Graficar Beograd won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Radnicki S. Mitrovica and 1.11 for Graficar Beograd. This points to a Graficar Beograd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica
35%
Draws
33%
Graficar Beograd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Graficar Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Radnicki S. Mitrovica picked up more points recently compared to Graficar Beograd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica Clean Sheet 21%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radnicki S. Mitrovica Graficar Beograd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnicki S. Mitrovica vs Graficar Beograd
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica
0:0
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Graficar Beograd vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica
2:3
May 1, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnicki S. Mitrovica vs Graficar Beograd
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Radnicki S. Mitrovica Compare

Top Goalscorer Gvozdenovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Graficar Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Sremcevic U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radnicki S. Mitrovica 33 / 100
Graficar Beograd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radnicki S. Mitrovica Graficar Beograd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Graficar Beograd or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Radnicki S. Mitrovica attacking → ← attacking Graficar Beograd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radnicki S. Mitrovica scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Graficar Beograd let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Radnicki S. Mitrovica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Graficar Beograd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Radnik Surdulica30188448:1262
2Javor301411531:1953
3Macva Sabac30158736:2153
4Mladost GAT301313428:2052
5FK Vozdovac301210830:2146
6Borac 192630129939:3545
7Graficar Beograd301110939:3843
8Vrsac301191028:2942
9Zemun30913835:2940
10Radnicki S. Mitrovica30714922:2735
11Dubocica307101335:4931
12Smederevo307101323:3731
13Sloven Ruma306121227:4030
14Trayal Krusevac30871530:3928
15Indjija30591626:4324
16Sloboda30491718:3621