Sport Picks

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Radnicki Valjevo vs Sloboda

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Radnicki Valjevo in this Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Radnicki Valjevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Radnicki Valjevo
15%
Draws
32%
Sloboda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Radnicki Valjevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Radnicki Valjevo have won more games recently than Sloboda.
  • Model gives Radnicki Valjevo a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Radnicki Valjevo Clean Sheet 20%
Sloboda Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radnicki Valjevo Sloboda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Radnicki Valjevo vs Sloboda
3:2
Oct 12, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Sloboda vs Radnicki Valjevo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radnicki Valjevo 58 / 100
Sloboda 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radnicki Valjevo Sloboda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radnicki Valjevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Radnicki Valjevo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sloboda conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Radnicki Valjevo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Radnicki Valjevo VS Sloboda
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Radnicki Valjevo

(Home)
05 Sept
Takovo
0 : 1
Radnicki Valjevo
29 Aug
Radnicki Valjevo
2 : 1
OFK Napredak
22 Aug
Buducnost Krusik
0 : 0
Radnicki Valjevo
15 Aug
Radnicki Valjevo
1 : 0
Radevac
07 Jun
Metalac
2 : 0
Radnicki Valjevo
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Sloboda

(Away)
06 Sept
Radevac
0 : 3
Sloboda
30 Aug
Sloboda
0 : 2
Zeleznicar Lajkovac
23 Aug
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
1 : 0
Sloboda
14 Aug
Sloboda
3 : 2
Djerdap Golubac
01 Aug
Takovo
4 : 0
Sloboda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metalac 30 20 8 2 52:17 68
2 Real Podunavci 30 13 10 7 37:29 49
3 Radnicki Valjevo 30 13 5 12 43:38 44
4 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 30 11 10 9 42:30 43
5 Omladinac Zablace 30 10 12 8 36:30 42
6 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
7 Sloboda 30 9 14 7 33:24 41
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 10 10 10 34:33 40
9 Jedinstvo Putevi 30 11 6 13 35:39 39
10 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 30 9 12 9 29:28 39
11 OFK Napredak 30 8 14 8 36:33 38
12 Takovo 30 9 10 11 23:29 37
13 Sloga Pozega 30 9 9 12 29:33 36
14 Mladi Radnik Radinac 30 9 7 14 31:52 34
15 Josanica 30 6 10 14 30:45 28
16 Polimlje 30 5 9 16 24:50 24
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