Sport Picks

Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion im. Braci Czachorów

Radomiak Radom

1 - 3

Lech Poznan

Our Tip

Match Events

Grzesik J.

Assist: Lopes V.

11'

Sub

Leandro In: Maurides

Out: Leandro

16'

Ishak M.

Assist: Palma L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 game between Radomiak Radom and Lech Poznan finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech Poznan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Radomiak Radom

Draws

90%

Lech Poznan

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Lech Poznan carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Lech Poznan taking it.
Regular Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Radomiak Radom Clean Sheet 10%

Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Radomiak Radom	Lech Poznan
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	10	18
Draws	8	6
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1.38	2.5
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Nov 23, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 4 - 4

4:1

Apr 27, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Oct 26, 2024 Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Dec 16, 2023 Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 4 - 0

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Radomiak Radom Compare

Top Goalscorer Grzesik J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Lech Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishak M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Palma L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radomiak Radom 10 / 100

Lech Poznan 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Radomiak Radom Lech Poznan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Radomiak Radom scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Lech Poznan has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Radomiak Radom VS Lech Poznan

1.38 Goals Scored 2.5

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	34	16	12	6	62:45	60
2	Gornik Zabrze	34	16	8	10	50:38	56
3	Jagiellonia	34	15	11	8	56:41	56
4	Rakow Czestochowa	34	16	7	11	51:40	55
5	GKS Katowice	34	14	8	12	51:45	50
6	Legia	34	12	13	9	42:37	49
7	Zaglebie	34	13	9	12	45:38	48
8	Wisla Plock	34	12	10	12	34:38	46
9	Pogon Szczecin	34	13	6	15	47:49	45
10	Radomiak Radom	34	11	11	12	52:53	44
11	Korona Kielce	34	11	10	13	40:40	43
12	Motor Lublin	34	10	13	11	46:53	43
13	Cracovia	34	9	15	10	39:42	42
14	Widzew Lodz	34	12	6	16	41:41	42
15	Piast Gliwice	34	11	8	15	42:46	41
16	Lechia Gdansk	34	12	7	15	62:65	38
17	Arka Gdynia	34	9	9	16	34:61	36
18	Termalica Bruk-Bet	34	9	7	18	43:65	34