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Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion im. Braci Czachorów, Radom
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Czubak K.
Assist: Samper S.
47' Event
Wolski R.
57'
Bartos M.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 game between Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Radomiak Radom
17%
Draws
70%
Motor Lublin
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Motor Lublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Motor Lublin come out ahead of Radomiak Radom on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Motor Lublin taking it.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Radomiak Radom Clean Sheet 10%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radomiak Radom Motor Lublin
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom
2:2
May 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin
2:3
Dec 2, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom
1:0
Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Radomiak Radom Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Motor Lublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Czubak K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radomiak Radom 14 / 100
Motor Lublin 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radomiak Radom Motor Lublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Radomiak Radom scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Motor Lublin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Radomiak Radom stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Radomiak Radom VS Motor Lublin
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Radomiak Radom

(Home)
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
17 Jul
Radomiak Radom
2 : 1
Legia II
14 Jul
Legia
3 : 1
Radomiak Radom
10 Jul
Radomiak Radom
2 : 4
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
Page 1 of 6

Motor Lublin

(Away)
17 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
11 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1
Warta Poznan
27 Jun
Motor Lublin
3 : 1
Dinamo Bucuresti
23 May
Legia
4 : 0
Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)