Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Raelingen vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ljung M.
31' Event
Gueye B.
39' Event
Bjarmann J. B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Raelingen and Sarpsborg 08 2 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Raelingen
20%
Draws
36%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Raelingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Raelingen come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 2 on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Raelingen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Raelingen Clean Sheet 10%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raelingen Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 3 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Raelingen vs Sarpsborg 08 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raelingen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjarmann J. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljung M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raelingen 38 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raelingen Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raelingen scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Sarpsborg 08 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Raelingen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Raelingen VS Sarpsborg 08 2
1.75 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Raelingen

(Home)
01 Aug
Orn
0 : 2
Raelingen
25 Jul
Raelingen
2 : 4
Lillehammer
27 Jun
Oppsal
3 : 1
Raelingen
20 Jun
Raelingen
3 : 1
Bjorkelangen
13 Jun
Rade
7 : 2
Raelingen
Page 1 of 6

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
03 Aug
Oppsal
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
27 Jul
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 3
Orn
25 Jun
Bjorkelangen
2 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
20 Jun
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 1
Fram
13 Jun
Brumunddal
3 : 3
Sarpsborg 08 2
Page 1 of 6