Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fortis

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL 2025/2026 Munshiganj Stadium, Munshigonj
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Alam Shakil I.
27'
Okafor O.
39'
Sub
Fahad A. In: Mona M.
Out: Fahad A.

AI Match Summary

The BFL 2025/2026 game between Rahmatgonj MFS and Fortis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rahmatgonj MFS
35%
Draws
45%
Fortis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Rahmatgonj MFS haven't matched Fortis's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Fortis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Fortis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Rahmatgonj MFS Clean Sheet 10%
Fortis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rahmatgonj MFS Fortis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.23 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 BFL
Fortis vs Rahmatgonj MFS
3:2
Dec 12, 2025 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fortis
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 BFL
Fortis vs Rahmatgonj MFS
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fortis
3:1
Apr 26, 2024 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fortis
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rahmatgonj MFS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Fortis Compare

Top Goalscorer Okafor O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rahmatgonj MFS 10 / 100
Fortis 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rahmatgonj MFS Fortis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Rahmatgonj MFS scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Rahmatgonj MFS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fortis conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rahmatgonj MFS VS Fortis
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rahmatgonj MFS

(Home)
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
09 May
Brothers U.
3 : 1
Rahmatgonj MFS
Page 1 of 6

Fortis

(Away)
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fortis
6 : 0
Chattogram
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
23 May
PWD Sports Club
2 : 2
Fortis
15 May
Fortis
2 : 0
Brothers U.
Page 1 of 6