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Rainbow vs Kachin United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

MNL League Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Khant H. M.
60' Event
Khant H. M.
63' Event
Khant H. M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Kachin United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rainbow
20%
Draws
80%
Kachin United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kachin United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kachin United come out ahead of Rainbow on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kachin United a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Kachin United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kachin United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Rainbow Clean Sheet 10%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rainbow Kachin United
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 0 6
Draws 0 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 0.38 1.17
Goals Conceded 5 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2024 MNL League Cup
Kachin United vs Rainbow
5:0
Mar 5, 2024 MNL League Cup
Rainbow vs Kachin United
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rainbow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kachin United Compare

Top Goalscorer Khant H. M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rainbow 10 / 100
Kachin United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rainbow Kachin United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kachin United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kachin United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Kachin United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Rainbow found the back of the net in 25% of recent matches (8 games).

Scoring Trends

Rainbow VS Kachin United
0.38 Goals Scored 2.13
5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rainbow

(Home)
14 May
Rakhine United
5 : 0
Rainbow
08 May
Glory Goal
2 : 1
Rainbow
02 May
Kachin United
5 : 0
Rainbow
26 Apr
Rainbow
0 : 7
Shan United
31 Mar
Rainbow
2 : 11
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 2

Kachin United

(Away)
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7
Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0
Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2
Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 8 8 0 0 30:2 24
2 Mahar United 8 5 0 3 26:12 15
3 University 8 3 0 5 17:23 9
4 Chinland 8 3 0 5 13:21 9
5 Shwe Pyi Thar 8 1 0 7 13:41 3
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 8 7 0 1 29:3 21
2 Rakhine United 8 6 0 2 29:6 18
3 Kachin United 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
4 Glory Goal 8 2 1 5 6:21 7
5 Rainbow 8 0 0 8 3:40 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 8 6 2 0 20:5 20
2 Hantharwady United 8 5 1 2 22:10 16
3 Ayeyawady 8 4 1 3 17:9 13
4 Dagon Port 8 2 2 4 19:11 8
5 Silver Stars 8 0 0 8 3:46 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yadanarbon 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
2 Ispe 8 4 3 1 19:10 15
3 Thitsar Arman 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
4 Myawady 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Rakhapura United 8 0 1 7 6:25 1
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)