Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rain/Lech vs Ismaning

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Aygun K.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Thies A.
37' Event
Bucher L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 game between Rain/Lech and Ismaning finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ismaning.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rain/Lech
15%
Draws
46%
Ismaning
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ismaning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rain/Lech haven't matched Ismaning's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ismaning a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rain/Lech Clean Sheet 19%
Ismaning Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rain/Lech Ismaning
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs Rain/Lech
4:5
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Ismaning
2:3
Nov 18, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs Rain/Lech
1:0
Aug 4, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Ismaning
1:1
May 4, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs Rain/Lech
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rain/Lech Compare

Top Goalscorer Stubhan B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ismaning Compare

Top Goalscorer Thies A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liuzza V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rain/Lech 16 / 100
Ismaning 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rain/Lech Ismaning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ismaning Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rain/Lech scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Ismaning's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 37 matches.

Rain/Lech has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rain/Lech VS Ismaning
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rain/Lech

(Home)
17 May
Rain/Lech
2 : 5
Munich 1860 II
10 May
Ismaning
4 : 5
Rain/Lech
03 May
Rain/Lech
5 : 4
Heimstetten
29 Apr
Rain/Lech
0 : 3
TSV Grunwald
25 Apr
TSV Grunwald
3 : 1
Rain/Lech
Page 1 of 6

Ismaning

(Away)
26 Sept
Ismaning
5 : 2
Munich 1860 II
19 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 0
Ismaning
12 Sept
Ismaning
4 : 2
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
03 Sept
FC Schwaig
2 : 2
Ismaning
28 Aug
SV Erlbach
2 : 0
Ismaning
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)