Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Raith vs Arbroath

Scotland Scotland

Championship Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Raith host Arbroath in the Championship. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Raith at 1.55 goals for, 1.21 against; Arbroath at 1.27 for, 1.3 against. Head-to-head, Raith have won 2 to Arbroath's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward Raith. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Raith
20%
Draws
29%
Arbroath
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Arbroath haven't matched Raith's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Raith taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Raith Clean Sheet 18%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Arbroath
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Raith
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Arbroath
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Championship
Arbroath vs Raith
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Arbroath
3:0
May 3, 2024 Championship
Raith vs Arbroath
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 76 / 100
Arbroath 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Arbroath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Raith scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Arbroath conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Raith went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Arbroath
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2
Raith
01 Aug
Raith
1 : 1
Stenhousemuir
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1
Hearts
21 Jul
Raith
1 : 0
Peterhead
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
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Arbroath

(Away)
08 Aug
Arbroath
0 : 0
Inverness
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0
Arbroath
25 Jul
Arbroath
1 : 0
Stirling
21 Jul
Arbroath
0 : 2
Montrose
18 Jul
Dundee Utd
3 : 0
Arbroath
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Partick 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Ayr 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Stenhousemuir 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Raith 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Livingston 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Dunfermline 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
7 Inverness 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
8 Arbroath 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 Queen's Park 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
10 Morton 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)