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Club Friendly

Hamilton

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Raith play Hamilton in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Raith averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Hamilton averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Raith won 4, Hamilton won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Raith and 1.75 for Hamilton. This points to a Raith double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Raith

21%

Draws

34%

Hamilton

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Raith picked up more points recently compared to Hamilton.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Raith Clean Sheet 12%

Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Raith	Hamilton
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	12
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	1.75	1.54
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly

Raith vs Hamilton

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup

Raith vs Hamilton

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

5:2

Mar 29, 2025 Championship

Hamilton vs Raith

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Feb 22, 2025 Championship

Raith vs Hamilton

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Jan 28, 2025 Championship

Hamilton vs Raith

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaughan L.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Orsi K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 43 / 100

Hamilton 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Raith Hamilton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Raith or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Raith attacking → ← attacking Hamilton

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raith scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Hamilton let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Raith went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hamilton lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 42

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38