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Raith vs Hamilton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Thomas D.
26' Event
Orsi K.
73' Event
Vaughan L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Raith
15%
Draws
39%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Raith haven't matched Hamilton's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Raith Clean Sheet 20%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Hamilton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Hamilton vs Raith
2:1
Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Raith vs Hamilton
2:2
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Raith vs Hamilton
5:2
Mar 29, 2025 Championship
Hamilton vs Raith
0:3
Feb 22, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Hamilton
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaughan L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orsi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 31 / 100
Hamilton 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Raith found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Raith remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Hamilton has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Hamilton
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2
Raith
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Hamilton

(Away)
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1
Hamilton
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cove Rangers
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1
Edinburgh City
22 Aug
East Fife
0 : 0
Hamilton
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