Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Raith vs Hearts

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Mato R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Raith and Hearts finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Raith
20%
Draws
40%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Raith haven't matched Hearts's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hearts have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Raith Clean Sheet 17%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Hearts
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Raith vs Hearts
0:1
Apr 30, 2021 Championship
Raith vs Hearts
0:4
Jan 26, 2021 Championship
Raith vs Hearts
0:4
Jan 23, 2021 Championship
Hearts vs Raith
2:3
Oct 13, 2020 League Cup
Hearts vs Raith
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Mato R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 30 / 100
Hearts 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Raith scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Hearts's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Raith stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Hearts
1.43 Goals Scored 2.5
0.29 Goals Conceded 2
57% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 88%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
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Hearts

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
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