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Raith vs Livingston

Scotland Scotland

Championship Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Raith host Livingston in the Championship. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Livingston have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Raith have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.57. Head-to-head, Raith have won 1 to Livingston's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Raith. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Raith
15%
Draws
28%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Raith have won more games recently than Livingston.
  • Win probability leans Raith's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Raith Clean Sheet 20%
Livingston Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Livingston
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2025 Championship
Livingston vs Raith
0:0
Dec 28, 2024 Championship
Raith vs Livingston
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Championship
Livingston vs Raith
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Championship
Raith vs Livingston
0:1
Jan 20, 2024 Scottish Cup
Livingston vs Raith
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 58 / 100
Livingston 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raith scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Livingston has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Raith went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Livingston
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2
Raith
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Livingston

(Away)
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
07 Aug
Partick
2 : 0
Livingston
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 6 5 1 0 10:2 16
2 Raith 6 4 1 1 11:3 13
3 Partick 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
4 Livingston 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Dunfermline 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
6 Arbroath 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
7 Inverness 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
8 Ayr 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
9 Queen's Park 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
10 Morton 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)