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Raith vs Livingston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Brown S.
47' Event
Muirhead R.
Assist: Montano C.
60' Event
Muirhead R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Livingston in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Livingston.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Raith
20%
Draws
47%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Raith have won more games recently than Livingston.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Raith Clean Sheet 19%
Livingston Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Livingston
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.62
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Livingston
0:2
Mar 5, 2025 Championship
Livingston vs Raith
0:0
Dec 28, 2024 Championship
Raith vs Livingston
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Championship
Livingston vs Raith
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Championship
Raith vs Livingston
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer Muirhead R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 32 / 100
Livingston 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raith scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Raith remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Livingston let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Livingston
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
03 Nov
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
31 Oct
Arbroath
0 : 4
Raith
24 Oct
Raith
0 : 2
Inverness
17 Oct
Stenhousemuir
1 : 1
Raith
10 Oct
Raith
2 : 0
Queen's Park
Page 1 of 6

Livingston

(Away)
03 Nov
Spartans
0 : 2
Livingston
30 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Livingston
24 Oct
Livingston
1 : 0
Arbroath
17 Oct
Dunfermline
0 : 0
Livingston
10 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Partick 13 7 4 2 17:7 25
2 Raith 13 7 3 3 20:9 24
3 Dunfermline 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
4 Stenhousemuir 13 7 2 4 13:12 23
5 Livingston 13 6 2 5 18:11 20
6 Inverness 13 5 4 4 17:16 19
7 Ayr 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
8 Arbroath 13 3 2 8 7:22 11
9 Morton 12 3 1 8 12:20 10
10 Queen's Park 13 2 1 10 8:22 7
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)