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Stadium Background

Raith vs Stenhousemuir Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Championship Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
McMullan P.
Assist: Easton D.
30' Event
Hodgkiss L.
38'
Anderson M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Raith
15%
Draws
46%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Raith haven't matched Stenhousemuir's recent run of results.
  • Raith are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Raith Clean Sheet 20%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 21
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.55 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Sep 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
5:2
Apr 6, 2019 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Raith
1:1
Jan 5, 2019 League One
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
5:1
Nov 17, 2018 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Raith
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer McMullan P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodgkiss L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 58 / 100
Stenhousemuir 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Raith's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Raith remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Stenhousemuir has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Stenhousemuir
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
03 Oct
Morton
1 : 2
Raith
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
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Stenhousemuir

(Away)
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Partick 8 4 3 1 8:2 15
4 Livingston 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Ayr 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
7 Arbroath 9 3 2 4 6:13 11
8 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 9 0 1 8 5:17 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)