Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Raith vs Stenhousemuir

Scotland Scotland

Championship Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
McMullan P.
Assist: Easton D.
30' Event
Hodgkiss L.
38'
Anderson M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Raith
20%
Draws
61%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Raith haven't matched Stenhousemuir's recent run of results.
  • Stenhousemuir are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Raith Clean Sheet 15%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.48 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Sep 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
5:2
Apr 6, 2019 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Raith
1:1
Jan 5, 2019 League One
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
5:1
Nov 17, 2018 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Raith
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer McMullan P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodgkiss L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 19 / 100
Stenhousemuir 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Raith's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stenhousemuir conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Raith has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Stenhousemuir
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
01 Aug
Raith
1 : 1
Stenhousemuir
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1
Hearts
21 Jul
Raith
1 : 0
Peterhead
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
14 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Raith
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Stenhousemuir

(Away)
01 Aug
Raith
1 : 1
Stenhousemuir
25 Jul
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Livingston
21 Jul
Partick
2 : 3
Stenhousemuir
18 Jul
Brechin
1 : 2
Stenhousemuir
11 Jul
Stenhousemuir
2 : 0
Forfar Athletic
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Partick 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Ayr 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Stenhousemuir 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Raith 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Livingston 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Dunfermline 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
7 Inverness 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
8 Arbroath 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 Queen's Park 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
10 Morton 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)