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Raj Pracha vs Muangnont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup 2024/2025
Wed, Jan 29, 2025
1 - 0
09:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

104' Event
Okereke Chimerie T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Raj Pracha advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Raj Pracha
25%
Draws
35%
Muangnont
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Raj Pracha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Raj Pracha come out ahead of Muangnont on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Raj Pracha's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Raj Pracha have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Raj Pracha, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Raj Pracha Clean Sheet 20%
Muangnont Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raj Pracha Muangnont
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 8 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 0.83 0
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Raj Pracha vs Muangnont
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raj Pracha Compare

Top Goalscorer Okereke Chimerie T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Muangnont Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raj Pracha 36 / 100
Muangnont 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raj Pracha Muangnont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muangnont has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Raj Pracha scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Raj Pracha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raj Pracha VS Muangnont
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Raj Pracha

(Home)
09 Apr
Chanthaburi
2 : 1
Raj Pracha
29 Jan
Raj Pracha
1 : 0
Muangnont
30 Apr
Phrae United
2 : 0
Raj Pracha
23 Apr
Raj Pracha
0 : 2
Customs Utd
09 Apr
Krabi
1 : 1
Raj Pracha
Page 1 of 6

Muangnont

(Away)
30 Oct
Muangnont
0 : 1
Phitsanulok
29 Jan
Raj Pracha
1 : 0
Muangnont

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Khonkaen FC 3
Cha Choeng Sao 1
Sukhothai 4
Muang Loei Utd 0
Bangkok Utd 3
Nong Bua Pitchaya 0
Nakhon Pathom 0
Muang Thong Utd 4
Bangkok FC 2
Suphanburi FC 3
Ratchaburi 3
Thai Navy 0
Phrae United 1
Rayong FC 0
Nakhon Si United 3
Lampang F.C. 2
Kasem Bundit 0
Chanthaburi 1
Raj Pracha 1
Muangnont 0
Mahasarakham 0
Buriram United F.C. 5
Chiangrai Utd 2
Lamphun Warrior 0
Kamphaeng Phet 0
Samut Sakhon City 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2
Chonburi 1
Huasamrong 0
Surin City 1
Lopburi City 0
Pathum United 3
1/8-finals
Khonkaen FC 0
Sukhothai 1
Bangkok Utd 1
Muang Thong Utd 2
Suphanburi FC 1
Ratchaburi 7
Phrae United 2
Nakhon Si United 1
Chanthaburi 2
Raj Pracha 1
Buriram United F.C. 2
Chiangrai Utd 1
Samut Sakhon City 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4
Surin City 1
Pathum United 4
Quarter-finals
Sukhothai 2
Muang Thong Utd 5
Ratchaburi 7
Phrae United 1
Chanthaburi 0
Buriram United F.C. 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1
Pathum United 3
Semi-finals
Muang Thong Utd 3
Ratchaburi 2
Buriram United F.C. 3
Pathum United 0
Final
Muang Thong Utd 2
Buriram United F.C. 3