Sport Picks
Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadidi
Morocco
Botola Pro Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca 
Match Events
14'
14'
El Amloud A.
37'
37'
Da Costa R.
39'
39'
Benoun B.
AI Match Summary
Raja Casablanca in this Botola Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Raja Casablanca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Raja Casablanca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Raja Casablanca have won more games recently than Difaa El Jadidi.
- Win probability leans Raja Casablanca's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Raja Casablanca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Raja Casablanca Clean Sheet 68%
Difaa El Jadidi Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Raja Casablanca | Difaa El Jadidi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadidi
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadidi vs Raja Casablanca
0:2
May 8, 2025 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadidi
3:2
Dec 25, 2024 Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadidi vs Raja Casablanca
2:0
Jun 23, 2023 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadidi
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Raja Casablanca Compare
Top Goalscorer El Amloud A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Difaa El Jadidi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Raja Casablanca 86 / 100
Difaa El Jadidi 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Raja Casablanca Difaa El Jadidi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Raja Casablanca found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Difaa El Jadidi conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Raja Casablanca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Raja Casablanca VS Difaa El Jadidi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Raja Casablanca
(Home) 05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2 Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0 Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1 Raja Casablanca
25 Jun
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 1 Raja Casablanca
21 Jun
Raja Casablanca
2 : 1 COD Meknes
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0 Hassania Agadir
21 Jun
Raja Casablanca
2 : 1 COD Meknes
14 Jun
Raja Casablanca
1 : 1 Union Touarga
03 Jun
Raja Casablanca
0 : 1 Berkane
16 May
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0 Jeunesse Massira
Page 1 of 4
Difaa El Jadidi
(Away) 05 Jul
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 3 Berkane
02 Jul
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 2 Difaa El Jadidi
28 Jun
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 1 Kawkab Marrakech
25 Jun
Union Touarga
1 : 2 Difaa El Jadidi
21 Jun
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 0 Wydad Athletic
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 2 Difaa El Jadidi
25 Jun
Union Touarga
1 : 2 Difaa El Jadidi
17 Jun
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1 Difaa El Jadidi
08 Jun
FUS Rabat
0 : 0 Difaa El Jadidi
04 Jun
FAR Rabat
2 : 1 Difaa El Jadidi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maghreb Fez | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 40:17 | 59 |
| 2 | Berkane | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 44:27 | 57 |
| 3 | Raja Casablanca | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 39:19 | 56 |
| 4 | FAR Rabat | 30 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 45:22 | 55 |
| 5 | Wydad Athletic | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:33 | 43 |
| 6 | Difaa El Jadidi | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 30:34 | 40 |
| 7 | IR Tanger | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 27:31 | 39 |
| 8 | FUS Rabat | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 31:36 | 37 |
| 9 | Kawkab Marrakech | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27:26 | 36 |
| 10 | COD Meknes | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 11 | Renaissance Zemamra | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 28:37 | 33 |
| 12 | Hassania Agadir | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 27:39 | 33 |
| 13 | Union Touarga | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 32:40 | 31 |
| 14 | Dcheira | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29:40 | 30 |
| 15 | Yacoub El Mansour | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:44 | 30 |
| 16 | Olympique de Safi | 30 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 24:42 | 22 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2026/2027 (Main)