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Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir Prediction & H2H Stats

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Arbidi Y.
41'
Sub
Arbidi Y. In: Ounajem M.
Out: Arbidi Y.
46'
Sub
Oyewusi M. In: Bougrine S.
Out: Oyewusi M.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro 2025/2026 game between Raja Casablanca and Hassania Agadir finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Raja Casablanca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Raja Casablanca
30%
Draws
23%
Hassania Agadir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Raja Casablanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Raja Casablanca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Raja Casablanca are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Raja Casablanca have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Raja Casablanca Clean Sheet 68%
Hassania Agadir Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raja Casablanca Hassania Agadir
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 Botola Pro
Hassania Agadir vs Raja Casablanca
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Botola Pro
Hassania Agadir vs Raja Casablanca
1:3
May 11, 2024 Coupe du Trone
Hassania Agadir vs Raja Casablanca
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raja Casablanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Iguiz Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hassania Agadir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raja Casablanca 86 / 100
Hassania Agadir 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raja Casablanca Hassania Agadir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raja Casablanca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raja Casablanca found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Hassania Agadir has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Raja Casablanca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Raja Casablanca VS Hassania Agadir
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Raja Casablanca

(Home)
03 Oct
Raja Casablanca
1 : 0
Renaissance Zemamra
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2
Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0
Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Raja Casablanca
25 Jun
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 1
Raja Casablanca
Page 1 of 6

Hassania Agadir

(Away)
03 Oct
Hassania Agadir
1 : 2
Maghreb Fez
27 Sept
Kawkab Marrakech
2 : 3
Hassania Agadir
05 Jul
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1
Kawkab Marrakech
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0
Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Main)