Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Raja Casablanca vs Union Touarga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca
Raja Casablanca Logo

Raja Casablanca

1 - 1
FT
Union Touarga Logo

Union Touarga

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Sub
Sakho P. In: Maamouri A.
Out: Sakho P.
39'
Sub
Ennaffati A. In: Dahak M.
Out: Ennaffati A.
39'
Sub
Bougrine S. In: Halimi B.
Out: Bougrine S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Botola Pro 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Raja Casablanca
35%
Draws
32%
Union Touarga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Raja Casablanca have won more games recently than Union Touarga.
  • Raja Casablanca are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Raja Casablanca Clean Sheet 20%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raja Casablanca Union Touarga
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Union Touarga
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Raja Casablanca
1:1
May 4, 2025 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Raja Casablanca
0:0
Dec 19, 2024 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Union Touarga
2:1
Feb 17, 2024 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Raja Casablanca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raja Casablanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Halimi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Bammou Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raja Casablanca 36 / 100
Union Touarga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raja Casablanca Union Touarga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Raja Casablanca remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Raja Casablanca's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Union Touarga let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Raja Casablanca VS Union Touarga
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Raja Casablanca

(Home)
08 Oct
Maghreb Fez
0 : 0
Raja Casablanca
03 Oct
Raja Casablanca
1 : 0
Renaissance Zemamra
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2
Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0
Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Raja Casablanca
Page 1 of 6

Union Touarga

(Away)
08 Oct
Union Touarga
0 : 0
Berkane
02 Oct
Widad Temara
0 : 1
Union Touarga
26 Sept
Union Touarga
2 : 1
FUS Rabat
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Main)